Time to death and its predictors among under-five children on antiretroviral treatment in public hospitals of Addis Ababa, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, a retrospective follow up study.

BACKGROUND: Child mortality remains a global public health problem, particularly in Sub-Saharan Africa. After initiating ART, the mortality rate among HIV-infected children in Ethiopia was 12-17 deaths per 1000 child-year. OBJECTIVE: To determine the time to death and its predictors among under-five children on antiretroviral treatment in public hospitals of Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, from April 12, 2017, to May 12, 2022. METHOD: An institution-based retrospective follow-up study was conducted among 415 HIV-infected children at selected public hospitals of the Addis Ababa town administration. Computer generated simple random sampling technique was used to select each sampling unit. Data was extracted using a structured data extraction checklist. Data were entered into EPI data 4.2 and analyzed using STATA 14. The child mortality rate was calculated. The Cox proportional hazards regression model was fitted to identify predictor factors. The result of the study was presented using text, tables, graphs, and charts. An adjusted hazard ratio with a 95% confidence interval and a p-value less than 0.05 was used to declare the level of significance. RESULT: A total of 415 (97.42%) of the 426 children on ART were included for analysis. Of these, 41(9.88%) children were died during the following period. The study participants were followed for a total of 8237 person- months of risk time. The overall mortality rate was 4.98 (95% CI: 3.67-6.77) per 1000 child-months. The estimated survival after starting ART was 61.42% at 56 months of follow-up. Severe underweight (AHR = 3.19; 95% CI: 1.32-7.71), tuberculosis (AHR = 3.86; CI: 1.76-8.47), low hemoglobin level (AHR = 2.51; CI: 1.02-6.20), and advanced WHO clinical stages at enrolment (AHR = 3.38; CI: 1.08-10.58) were predictors of death among HIV-infected under-five children on ART. CONCLUSION: The incidence of mortality was 4.98 per 1000 child-months. Severe underweight, tuberculosis infection, low hemoglobin level, and advanced WHO clinical stages at enrolment were predictors of death among under-five children on ART.

Surgical outcome and predictors of neonates with esophageal atresia admitted at Tikur Anbesa Specialized Hospital.

BACKGROUND: Esophageal atresia (EA) with or without tracheoesophageal fistula (TEF) is the most common congenital anomaly of the esophagus. This anomaly continues to cause considerable morbidity and mortality in Sub-Saharan Africa, presenting various concerns about how to treat esophageal atresia. Esophageal atresia-related neonatal mortality can be reduced by evaluating the surgical outcome and identifying associated factors. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to assess the surgical outcome and identify predictors of neonates with esophageal atresia admitted at Tikur Anbesa specialized hospital. METHODS: Retrospective crossectional study design was employed on 212 neonates with esophageal atresia who were undergone surgical intervention in Tikur Anbesa specialized hospital. Data were entered into epi data 4.6 and exported to Stata version 16 software for further analysis. A logistic regression model with Adjusted odds ratio (AOR), confidence interval (CI) and p-value <0.05 were used to identify predictors of poor surgical outcome of neonates with esophageal atresia. RESULT: In this study, 25% of newborns who underwent surgical intervention at TikurAbnbesa specialized hospital had successful surgical outcomes, compared to 75% of neonates with esophageal atresia who had poor surgical outcomes. Significant predictors of the poor surgical outcome of neonates with esophageal atresia were severe thrombocytopenia (AOR = 2.81(1.07-7.34)), timing of surgery (AOR = 3.7(1.34-10.1), aspiration pneumonia (AOR = 2.93(1.17-7.38)) and related abnormalities (AOR = 2.26(1.06-4.82)). CONCLUSION: The results of this study showed that, when compared to other studies, a substantial percentage of newborn children with esophageal atresia had poor surgical outcomes. Early surgical management, aspiration pneumonia and thrombocytopenia prevention and therapy play a big part in improving the surgical prognosis for newborns with esophageal atresia.

Treatment outcome of neonatal sepsis and associated factors among neonates admitted to neonatal intensive care unit in public hospitals, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, 2021. Multi-center cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Globally, neonatal sepsis is the leading cause of neonatal mortality and morbidity, particularly in developing countries. Despite studies that revealed the prevalence of neonatal sepsis in developing countries, the outcome of the diseases, barriers for poor outcomes were inconclusive. The aim of this study was to assess the treatment outcome of neonatal sepsis and its associated factors among neonates admitted to neonatal intensive care unit in public hospitals, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, 2021. METHODS: A cross-sectional study was carried out from February 15 to May 10, 2021 on 308 neonates admitted to neonatal intensive care units of Addis Ababa city public hospitals. Hospitals and study participants were selected by lottery and systematic random sampling techniques, respectively. Data were collected through face-to-face interviews with a structured, pretested questionnaire and by reviewing both the maternal and newborn profile cards. Epi-data version 4.6 was used to enter the collected data, which was then exported to SPSS version 26 for analysis. The 95% CI odds ratio is used to determine the direction and strength of the association between the dependent and independent variables. RESULTS: Among the total study 308 neonates, 75(24.4%) were died. Regarding the poor treatment outcome of neonatal sepsis, neonates whose mothers <37 weeks of gestational age (AOR = 4.87, 95% CI: 1.23-19.22), Grunting (AOR 6.94: 1.48-32.54), Meconium amniotic stained (AOR = 3.03, 95% CI: 1.02-9.01), Duration of rupture of membrane >18hours (AOR = 3.66, 95% CI: (1.20-11.15), Hypertensive PIH/ Eclampsia (AOR = 3.54, 95% CI: 1.24-10.09), Meropenum (AOR = 4.16, 95% CI: 1.22-14.21) and CRP positive result (AOR = 5.87, 95% CI: 1.53-22.56) were significantly associated with poor treatment outcome of neonatal sepsis. CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION: The treatment outcomes of neonates were 75.6% recovered and 24.4% died. In this setting, empirical treatment was the cornerstone for managing neonatal sepsis. Professionals who are working in labor and delivery ward screened for mothers preeclampsia and duration of rupture of membrane >18hrs /PROM/ treated with antihypertensive drug and antibiotics for the prevention of neonatal sepsis.

Time to Death and Predictors Among Neonates with Esophageal Atresia in Ethiopia.

Background: Esophageal atresia is an upper gastrointestinal tract developmental abnormality in which the upper and lower esophagus do not connect. Esophageal atresia has a higher incidence of death in sub-Saharan Africa, ranging from 30% to 80%. In Ethiopia, infants with esophageal atresia had a higher mortality rate. The assessment of time to death and predictors of esophageal atresia can help to reduce newborn mortality. Objective: This study was aimed to investigate the time to death and predictors of neonates with esophageal atresia admitted to Tikur Anbessa Specialized Hospital, Ethiopia. Methods: An institutional-based retrospective follow-up study was conducted among 225 neonates diagnosed with esophageal atresia. The median survival time, Kaplan-Meier failure estimation curve, and Log rank test were computed. Bivariable and multivariable Cox regression hazards models were fitted to identify the predictors of time to death. Hazard ratio with a 95% confidence interval was calculated and p-values <0.05 were considered statistically significant. Results: In the study, the incidence density rate of neonates diagnosed with esophageal atresia was 5.5 (95% CI, 4.7-6.4) per 100-neonates day. The median time to death was 11 days (95% confidence interval (CI), 8.92-13.08). Birth weight <2500 g (adjusted hazard ratio (AHR)=1.49, 95% CI, 1.02 -2.21), having sepsis (AHR=1.67,95% CI, 1.15-2.44), being malnourished (AHR = 1.61, 95% CI, 1.03 -2.58), esophageal atretic neonates without surgery (AHR = 3.72, 95% CI, 1.34-10.38), diagnosis time at >48 hours of admission (AHR = 1.48, 95% CI, 1.01-2.15) and being dehydrated (AHR = 2.38, 95% CI, 1.63-3.46) were significant predictors of time to death among esophageal atretic neonates. Conclusion: The findings in this study highlighted the necessity of early diagnosis, proper comorbidity treatment, and timely surgical intervention to reduce infant deaths due to esophageal atresia.

Survival status and predictors of mortality among preterm neonates admitted to neonatal intensive care unit of Addis Ababa public hospitals, Ethiopia, 2021. A prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Preterm related complications are the single largest direct cause of neonatal deaths throughout the world, responsible for 35% of the world's neonatal death (1.1 million deaths/year). In Ethiopia preterm related complications are still the leading cause of neonatal mortality. Identifying the hazard time to death and predictors of mortality play an important role to decrease preterm mortality. Therefore, this study aimed to determine the survival and predictors of mortality among preterm neonates admitted to neonatal intensive care unit of Addis Ababa public hospitals, Ethiopia, 2021. METHOD: An institutional based prospective follow up study was conducted among 358 preterm neonates admitted to selected public hospitals of Addis Ababa, Ethiopia from February 12 to May 12, 2021. Systematic random sampling was used to recruit each sample and data was collected prospectively using structured questioner. Epi-data version 4.6 and STATA version 16 was used to data entry and analysis respectively. Kaplan Meier failure curve, Log rank tests were computed. Schoenfeld residual test was used to check overall model fitness. Cox proportional hazards models were fitted to identify independent predictors of preterm mortality. RESULT: At the end of this cohort, 125(34.9%) of the neonates died, with incidence rate of 36.4/1000 (CI: 0.031-0.044) person-day with the median time to death of 6 days. Born from antepartum hemorrhage mother (AHR: 3.1, CI; 1.4-6.6), lack of Kangaroo mother care (AHR: 5.8, CI; 2.37-14.33), unable to start feeding with in 24 h of admission (AHR: 6.4, CI: 3.33-12.28), apnea (AHR: 2.4, CI: 1.3-4.7) and dehydration (AHR: 2.33, CI: 1.3-4.3) were the identified predictors of time to death. CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION: The first 7 days of admission was the hazard time to death with median time of 6 days. Being born to antepartum hemorrhage mother, lack of Kangaroo mother care, unable to start feeding with 24-h, Apnea and dehydration were the predictors of time to death. Therefore, intervention that focuses on the identified predictors could have a paramount effect to prolong time to death and reduce preterm mortality.